News

Nordic Demographic Symposium 2022
June 2022
Members of the FertilityTrends project are travelling to Oslo this week for the Nordic Demographic Symposium, where Dr. Sarah Christison will present ‘Fertility Behaviour and the Residential Context: a longitudinal analysis of fertility trends in Scotland’, Dr. Joanne Ellison will present ‘Improving Methods for Fertility Forecasting through the Incorporation of Parity Information’, and Dr. Bernice Kuang will present ‘Changing Educational Patterns of Childlessness in the United Kingdom: A Comparison of England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland’.

Effect of lockdowns on birth rates in the UK
April 2022
Professor Ann Berrington and Dr. Joanne Ellison have written an article for The Conversation looking at the ‘Effect of lockdowns on birth rates in the UK‘. Dr. Sarah Christison, Dr. Bernice Kuang and Professor Hill Kulu also contributed to this article.

COVID-19 pandemic resulted in temporary decline in number of babies born in the UK
January 2022
Our work was featured, and Professor Ann Berrington was quoted, in a CPC news article examining the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of births in the UK. Read the news article here.

Combining data sources to develop a fertility projection model
January 2022
Dr Joanne Ellison‘s microthesis ‘Combining data sources to develop a fertility projection model’ has been published in the January edition of the London Mathematical Society Newsletter. The microthesis gives a high-level overview of her PhD thesis in just two pages. Read on pages 48-49 here.

Scenario-based fertility projections incorporating impacts of COVID-19
December 2021
Our paper ‘Scenario-based fertility projections incorporating impacts of COVID-19’ was published in Population, Space and Place. The paper examines the recent declines in period fertility in the constituent countries of the UK during the past decade and speculates mechanisms through which the COVID-19 pandemic could influence childbearing in the UK.  Read the full paper here and a summary in CPC policy briefing 66 here.

Theory and Explanation in Demography: The case of low fertility in Europe
December 2021
Professor Elspeth Graham published a paper in the 75th anniversary special issue of Population Studies, posing the question “Why is fertility currently low across Europe?”. Read the paper here.

Pandemic Babies?
December 2021
Professor Ann Berrington presented ‘Scenario-based fertility projections incorporating impacts of COVID-19’ at the ‘Pandemic Babies? The Covid-19 Pandemic and Its Impact on Fertility and Family Dymanics’ conference on 14 December 2021.

IUSSP International Population Conference
December 2021
The FertilityTrends team presented work at the IUSSP International Population Conference, 5-10 December 2021.  Presentations included: scenario-based fertility projections incorporating impacts of COVID-19; two decades of fertility fluctuation in Great Britain; improving methodology for fertility forecasting through the incorporation of individual-level data and population-level parity information; and cross-national differences in the use of contraception and abortion services between England, Wales and Scotland. The full programme is available here. The poster and videos of the presentations can be viewed on our conferences webpage.

Buying a house no longer comes before having children
September 2021
Previous work looking at the link between homeownership and entering parenthood has been featured in an article in The Telegraph.  Read the article here.

Homeownership and the transition to parenthood
August 2021
Previous work investigating whether and how the link between homeownership and entering parenthood has changed in Britain in recent decades has now been published.  Read the full findings in Demography here and a summary in CPC policy briefing 63 here.

Media coverage of declining levels of fertility caused by Covid-19
March 2021
Our recent working paper received local, national and international media coverage including:
Coronavirus: UK fertility rate falls to lowest level on record, Yahoo News
Covid ‘baby bust’ fears as fertility rate falls to record low, The Telegraph
Britain must reverse the baby bust to avoid an Italian decline, The Telegraph
Covid-19 could cause historically low levels of childbearing in the UK, University of Southampton
Covid pandemic could see baby bust rather than a baby boom, About Manchester

Recent trends in UK fertility and potential impacts of Covid-19
March 2021
We have published a working paper which examines the recent declines in period fertility in the constituent countries of the UK during the past decade and speculates the mechanisms through which the COVID-19 pandemic could influence childbearing in the UK. Read the working paper here.

Using vital registration data to understand differences in childbearing patterns between the four countries of the UK
September 2020
Professor Ann Berrington presented at the British Society for Population Studies conference, in September 2020, on Using vital registration data to understand differences in childbearing patterns between the four countries of the UK.

Birth strike? How are environmental concerns associated with young adults’ fertility intentions?
June 2020
Professor Ann Berrington presented her paper ‘Birth strike? How are environmental concerns associated with young adults’ fertility intentions?’ in session 6: Fertility at times of crisis: from economic recession to climate change at the European Population Conference webinar, 26 June, 12:00-13:00. Listen to the recording here.

ESRC grant awarded
August 2019
Professor Hill Kulu leads a joint research team of the Universities of St Andrews and Southampton and has been awarded an ESRC grant of £708,000 to investigate recent fertility trends in the UK and project future developments. Read more here.